Polls Down Under
We track every public poll, blend them into one trend line, and use that to project every seat at the next federal election and the Victorian state election.
Explore the data
The map, the polling charts and the district pages all draw from the same aggregator and the same seat model, not three separate tools.
Election Map
A hex-cartogram seat-by-seat projection for the next federal election, plus the 2025 and 2022 results.
Polling
Our own poll-of-polls: kernel-smoothed, pollster frequency-balanced, and robust to outliers.
Districts
Browse every federal and Victorian state electorate, with results and projections seat by seat.
Latest articles

Six Weeks Out: Where the Polls Stand in Victoria
No how-to-vote cards yet, but the polls have held steady for a month. Where the baseline sits, how it's built, what it means for the 88 seats, and what could still move it before November 28.

Victoria State Election Preview: One Nation
Where One Nation started in 2022, how far they've come since, and the specific seats where our model thinks their targeting is paying off.

