Updated weekly
Victoria Polling
Our own poll-of-polls for the Victorian state election: kernel-smoothed, weighted by sample size, pollster frequency-balanced, and robust to outliers.
LIB
29.0%
ALP
24.5%
ONP
23.3%
GRN
14.0%
The data
Every poll
| Date | Pollster | Labor | Coalition | Greens | One Nation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | DemosAU | 25% | 30% | 14% | 20% |
| 2026-09-14 | RedBridge Group | 24% | 29% | 15% | 25% |
| 2026-09-12 | Resolve Strategic | 25% | 28% | 12% | 23% |
| 2026-08-15 | Resolve Strategic | 25% | 27% | 12% | 23% |
| 2026-08-11 | DemosAU | 23% | 32% | 13% | 22% |
| 2026-08-07 | Roy Morgan | 26% | 26% | 12.5% | 23.5% |
| 2026-08-03 | Freshwater Strategy | 25% | 30% | 14% | 22% |
| 2026-08-01 | RedBridge Group | 23% | 30% | 14% | 22% |
| 2026-07-26 | Newspoll | 28% | 31% | 13% | 19% |
| 2026-07-11 | Resolve Strategic | 27% | 27% | 12% | 22% |
| 2026-07-10 | YouGov | 23% | 26% | 13% | 24% |
| 2026-06-28 | RedBridge Group | 26% | 26% | 13% | 27% |
| 2026-06-13 | Resolve Strategic | 26% | 26% | 12% | 24% |
| 2026-06-11 | DemosAU | 21% | 30% | 15% | 23% |
| 2026-06-09 | Freshwater Strategy | 23% | 27% | 14% | 25% |
| 2026-04-24 | Roy Morgan | 25.5% | 24% | 13.5% | 24.5% |
| 2026-04-18 | Resolve Strategic | 26% | 27% | 11% | 23% |
| 2026-03-23 | Freshwater Strategy | 27% | 30% | 14% | 20% |
| 2026-03-14 | Resolve Strategic | 27% | 31% | 9% | 19% |
| 2026-02-27 | RedBridge Group | 25% | 28% | 13% | 24% |
| 2026-02-23 | Freshwater Strategy | 28% | 27% | 13% | 23% |
| 2026-02-16 | Roy Morgan | 25.5% | 21.5% | 13% | 26.5% |
| 2026-02-14 | Resolve Strategic | 28% | 26% | 13% | 22% |
| 2026-02-10 | DemosAU | 23% | 29% | 15% | 21% |
| 2026-01-16 | Resolve Strategic | 28% | 34% | 11% | — |
| 2025-12-08 | RedBridge Group | 31% | 40% | 12% | — |
| 2025-12-07 | Resolve Strategic | 28% | 39% | 12% | — |
| 2025-11-25 | Newspoll | 28% | 36% | 14% | — |
| 2025-11-24 | Freshwater Strategy | 30% | 37% | 15% | — |
| 2025-11-17 | Freshwater Strategy | 30% | 37% | 15% | — |
| 2025-10-27 | DemosAU | 26% | 37% | 15% | — |
| 2025-10-14 | RedBridge Group | 32% | 37% | 13% | — |
| 2025-10-12 | Resolve Strategic | 30% | 33% | 12% | — |
| 2025-09-11 | RedBridge Group | 32% | 37% | 13% | — |
| 2025-09-09 | DemosAU | 26% | 38% | 15% | — |
| 2025-08-16 | Resolve Strategic | 32% | 33% | 12% | — |
| 2025-06-30 | Newspoll | 35% | 35% | 12% | — |
| 2025-06-30 | RedBridge Group | 33% | 38% | 14% | — |
| 2025-03-30 | Resolve Strategic | 24% | 41% | 14% | — |
| 2025-01-21 | Resolve Strategic | 22% | 42% | 13% | — |
| 2024-11-20 | RedBridge Group | 30% | 43% | 14% | — |
| 2024-11-09 | Resolve Strategic | 28% | 38% | 13% | — |
| 2024-10-03 | RedBridge Group | 30% | 40% | 12% | — |
| 2024-09-07 | Resolve Strategic | 27% | 37% | 14% | — |
| 2024-08-29 | Wolf & Smith | 28% | 40% | 14% | — |
| 2024-08-01 | RedBridge Group | 31% | 40% | 12% | — |
| 2024-07-14 | Resolve Strategic | 27% | 37% | 15% | — |
| 2024-05-30 | RedBridge Group | 35% | 38% | 14% | — |
| 2024-05-20 | RedBridge Group | 36% | 38% | 10% | — |
| 2024-05-19 | Resolve Strategic | 28% | 37% | 13% | — |
| 2024-03-24 | Resolve Strategic | 33% | 35% | 13% | — |
| 2023-12-12 | RedBridge Group | 37% | 36% | 13% | — |
| 2023-12-03 | Resolve Strategic | 37% | 31% | 11% | — |
| 2023-10-04 | Resolve Strategic | 39% | 32% | 12% | — |
| 2023-09-14 | RedBridge Group | 37% | 34% | 13% | — |
| 2023-08-12 | Resolve Strategic | 39% | 28% | 13% | — |
| 2023-06-11 | Resolve Strategic | 41% | 26% | 15% | — |
| 2023-04-16 | Resolve Strategic | 42% | 30% | 10% | — |
| 2023-02-19 | Resolve Strategic | 41% | 30% | 13% | — |
| 2022-11-26 | Election | 36.7% | 34.5% | 11.5% | 0.3% |
LIB
28.0%
ALP
23.0%
GRN
23.0%
ONP
15.0%
The data
Every poll
| Date | Pollster | Labor | Coalition | Greens | One Nation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-10 | DemosAU | 23% | 28% | 23% | 15% |
| 2025-12-08 | RedBridge Group | 30% | 41% | 14% | — |
| 2025-10-27 | DemosAU | 27% | 31% | 25% | — |
| 2025-09-09 | DemosAU | 27% | 36% | 19% | — |
| 2024-11-20 | RedBridge Group | 28% | 41% | 17% | — |
LIB
32.0%
ALP
24.0%
ONP
21.0%
GRN
13.0%
The data
Every poll
| Date | Pollster | Labor | Coalition | Greens | One Nation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-10 | DemosAU | 24% | 32% | 13% | 21% |
| 2025-12-08 | RedBridge Group | 34% | 38% | 11% | — |
| 2025-10-27 | DemosAU | 27% | 40% | 11% | — |
| 2025-09-09 | DemosAU | 25% | 39% | 14% | — |
| 2024-11-20 | RedBridge Group | 31% | 42% | 15% | — |
ALP
26.5%
ONP
24.0%
LIB
22.0%
GRN
15.0%
The data
Every poll
| Date | Pollster | Labor | Coalition | Greens | One Nation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-16 | Roy Morgan | 26.5% | 22% | 15% | 24% |
ALP
41.0%
LIB
27.0%
GRN
14.0%
ONP
—
The data
Every poll
| Date | Pollster | Labor | Coalition | Greens | One Nation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-08 | RedBridge Group | 41% | 27% | 14% | — |
ONP
34.5%
ALP
23.5%
LIB
21.0%
GRN
8.5%
The data
Every poll
| Date | Pollster | Labor | Coalition | Greens | One Nation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-16 | Roy Morgan | 23.5% | 21% | 8.5% | 34.5% |
| 2026-02-10 | DemosAU | 21% | 23% | 9% | 30% |
| 2025-12-08 | RedBridge Group | 23% | 43% | 13% | — |
| 2025-10-27 | DemosAU | 22% | 39% | 10% | — |
| 2025-09-09 | DemosAU | 28% | 36% | 11% | — |
| 2024-11-20 | RedBridge Group | 31% | 45% | 8% | — |
LIB
37.0%
ALP
20.0%
ONP
18.0%
GRN
15.0%
The data
Every poll
| Date | Pollster | Labor | Coalition | Greens | One Nation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | DemosAU | 20% | 37% | 15% | 18% |
| 2026-06-11 | DemosAU | 20% | 27% | 19% | 21% |
| 2026-02-16 | Roy Morgan | 28.5% | 19.5% | 16% | 22% |
| 2026-02-10 | DemosAU | 22% | 28% | 18% | 21% |
| 2025-12-08 | RedBridge Group | 28% | 37% | 14% | — |
| 2025-12-07 | Resolve Strategic | 28% | 36% | 16% | — |
| 2025-10-27 | DemosAU | 24% | 36% | 19% | — |
| 2025-10-14 | RedBridge Group | 30% | 36% | 14% | — |
| 2025-10-12 | Resolve Strategic | 27% | 32% | 13% | — |
| 2025-09-09 | DemosAU | 26% | 33% | 19% | — |
| 2025-08-17 | Resolve Strategic | 32% | 28% | 16% | — |
| 2024-11-20 | RedBridge Group | 28% | 42% | 16% | — |
LIB
28.0%
ALP
25.0%
ONP
25.0%
GRN
11.0%
The data
Every poll
| Date | Pollster | Labor | Coalition | Greens | One Nation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | DemosAU | 25% | 28% | 11% | 25% |
| 2026-06-11 | DemosAU | 21% | 33% | 12% | 24% |
| 2026-02-16 | Roy Morgan | 23% | 24.5% | 11% | 30.5% |
| 2026-02-10 | DemosAU | 25% | 30% | 12% | 21% |
| 2025-12-08 | RedBridge Group | 33% | 42% | 11% | — |
| 2025-12-07 | Resolve Strategic | 29% | 43% | 9% | — |
| 2025-10-27 | DemosAU | 28% | 39% | 11% | — |
| 2025-10-14 | RedBridge Group | 35% | 41% | 11% | — |
| 2025-10-12 | Resolve Strategic | 34% | 34% | 10% | — |
| 2025-09-09 | DemosAU | 27% | 43% | 11% | — |
| 2025-08-17 | Resolve Strategic | 31% | 39% | 8% | — |
| 2024-11-20 | RedBridge Group | 32% | 43% | 12% | — |
GRN
30.0%
ALP
24.0%
LIB
22.0%
ONP
17.0%
The data
Every poll
| Date | Pollster | Labor | Coalition | Greens | One Nation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | DemosAU | 24% | 22% | 30% | 17% |
| 2026-06-11 | DemosAU | 25% | 18% | 33% | 16% |
| 2026-02-16 | Roy Morgan | 28.5% | 20% | 14.5% | 25% |
| 2026-02-10 | DemosAU | 26% | 21% | 35% | 9% |
| 2025-12-07 | Resolve Strategic | 28% | 37% | 20% | — |
| 2025-10-27 | DemosAU | 30% | 23% | 31% | — |
| 2025-10-12 | Resolve Strategic | 39% | 20% | 20% | — |
| 2025-08-17 | Resolve Strategic | 39% | 20% | 25% | — |
| 2024-11-20 | RedBridge Group | 31% | 26% | 29% | — |
LIB
31.0%
ONP
24.0%
ALP
21.0%
GRN
12.0%
The data
Every poll
| Date | Pollster | Labor | Coalition | Greens | One Nation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | DemosAU | 21% | 31% | 12% | 24% |
| 2026-06-11 | DemosAU | 19% | 30% | 13% | 28% |
| 2026-02-10 | DemosAU | 23% | 26% | 14% | 23% |
| 2025-12-07 | Resolve Strategic | 30% | 32% | 13% | — |
| 2025-10-27 | DemosAU | 27% | 34% | 19% | — |
| 2025-10-12 | Resolve Strategic | 30% | 29% | 14% | — |
| 2025-08-17 | Resolve Strategic | 35% | 27% | 12% | — |
ONP
27.0%
ALP
25.5%
LIB
23.0%
GRN
11.0%
The data
Every poll
| Date | Pollster | Labor | Coalition | Greens | One Nation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-16 | Roy Morgan | 25.5% | 23% | 11% | 27% |
ONP
27.0%
LIB
24.0%
ALP
23.0%
GRN
12.5%
The data
Every poll
| Date | Pollster | Labor | Coalition | Greens | One Nation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-16 | Roy Morgan | 23% | 24% | 12.5% | 27% |