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Victorian state district · Eastern Victoria

Bass

Results and projection for this Legislative Assembly district.

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Next Election (Projected)

Current result

Coalition (Liberal) wins in 70% of simulations
Coalition (Liberal) 52.7%
One Nation 47.3%

The win-probability figure above comes from a separate 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulation (see the Victoria Election Map page for methodology) built on this same TCP margin — it's how often that margin survives statewide polling uncertainty plus seat-level noise, not a different projection.

LIB
33.3%
Coalition (Liberal)Projected winner
ONP
30.4%
One Nation
ALP
19.3%
Labor
GRN
10.3%
Greens
OTH
6.7%
Other
Get to know the district

Bass

4.4%
Unemployment rate
0.6pt below Victoria's 5% average
Population
65,996
Median age
44
Median household income
$1395/wk
Aboriginal / Torres Strait Islander
1%
Classification
Rural

Ancestry

European
49%
Australian
31%
Asian
7%

People could report up to two ancestries. Grouped by region from the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller regions outside that list aren't counted.

Language spoken at home

English only
70%
Other languages
20%
Punjabi
5%
Sinhalese
3%
Malayalam
1%
Hindi
1%

Language spoken most often at home. "Other languages" is everyone outside the top responses shown.

Religion

No Religion
39%
Christian
25%
Hinduism
5%

All people. Christian combines denominations in the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller denominations outside that list aren't counted. Other faiths shown individually.

Education (highest level attained)

High School
38%
TAFE Educated
30%
University Educated
21%

People aged 15+. University Educated: Bachelor degree or higher. TAFE Educated: Certificate or Diploma. High School: no further qualification.

Housing

Owned (No Mortgage)
40%
Owned (Active Mortgage)
38%
Renting
19%

Most homes here are a separate house. Typical rent is $320/week; typical mortgage payment is $400/week.

Occupation

White collar
50%
Blue collar
48%

Employed people (15+). White collar: Managers, Professionals, Clerical & Administrative, Sales. Blue collar: Trades, Community & Personal Service, Machinery Operators, Labourers.

Past Results | Bass

2022Projection
ALP32.6%19.3%
LIB30.1%33.3%
GRN8.1%10.3%
ONP—30.4%
Coalition (National)13.3%—
Other11.3%6.7%
Independent4.4%—

Latest update: 2 October 2026