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Victorian state district · North-Eastern Metropolitan

Bayswater

Results and projection for this Legislative Assembly district.

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Next Election (Projected)

Current result

Coalition (Liberal) wins in 76% of simulations
Coalition (Liberal) 55.3%
Labor 44.7%

The win-probability figure above comes from a separate 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulation (see the Victoria Election Map page for methodology) built on this same TCP margin — it's how often that margin survives statewide polling uncertainty plus seat-level noise, not a different projection.

LIB
32.3%
Coalition (Liberal)Projected winner
ALP
27.7%
Labor
ONP
22.0%
One Nation
GRN
10.1%
Greens
OTH
7.9%
Other
Get to know the district

Bayswater

4.1%
Unemployment rate
0.9pt below Victoria's 5% average
Population
72,956
Median age
39
Median household income
$1714/wk
Aboriginal / Torres Strait Islander
1%
Classification
Outer Melbourne

Ancestry

European
54%
Australian
32%
Asian
9%

People could report up to two ancestries. Grouped by region from the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller regions outside that list aren't counted.

Language spoken at home

English only
74%
Other languages
17%
Mandarin
4%
Cantonese
2%
Sinhalese
1%
Vietnamese
1%

Language spoken most often at home. "Other languages" is everyone outside the top responses shown.

Religion

No Religion
46%
Christian
27%

All people. Christian combines denominations in the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller denominations outside that list aren't counted. Other faiths shown individually.

Education (highest level attained)

High School
36%
TAFE Educated
28%
University Educated
26%

People aged 15+. University Educated: Bachelor degree or higher. TAFE Educated: Certificate or Diploma. High School: no further qualification.

Housing

Owned (Active Mortgage)
39%
Owned (No Mortgage)
32%
Renting
26%

Most homes here are a separate house. Typical rent is $390/week; typical mortgage payment is $450/week.

Occupation

White collar
58%
Blue collar
41%

Employed people (15+). White collar: Managers, Professionals, Clerical & Administrative, Sales. Blue collar: Trades, Community & Personal Service, Machinery Operators, Labourers.

Past Results | Bayswater

2022Projection
ALP41.3%27.7%
LIB35.6%32.3%
GRN7.4%10.1%
ONP—22.0%
Other13.6%7.9%
Independent2.1%—

Latest update: 2 October 2026