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Victorian state district · Northern Victoria

Benambra

Results and projection for this Legislative Assembly district.

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Next Election (Projected)

Current result

Coalition (Liberal) wins in 76% of simulations
Coalition (Liberal) 55.4%
One Nation 44.6%

The win-probability figure above comes from a separate 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulation (see the Victoria Election Map page for methodology) built on this same TCP margin — it's how often that margin survives statewide polling uncertainty plus seat-level noise, not a different projection.

LIB
39.3%
Coalition (Liberal)Projected winner
ONP
31.3%
One Nation
ALP
10.3%
Labor
IND
8.5%
Independent
GRN
6.0%
Greens
OTH
4.6%
Other
Get to know the district

Benambra

3.6%
Unemployment rate
1.4pt below Victoria's 5% average
Population
66,838
Median age
41
Median household income
$1480/wk
Aboriginal / Torres Strait Islander
3%
Classification
Provincial

Ancestry

European
72%
Australian
42%

People could report up to two ancestries. Grouped by region from the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller regions outside that list aren't counted.

Language spoken at home

English only
89%
Other languages
10%
Swahili
0%
Nepali
0%
Vietnamese
0%
Punjabi
0%

Language spoken most often at home. "Other languages" is everyone outside the top responses shown.

Religion

No Religion
45%
Christian
35%

All people. Christian combines denominations in the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller denominations outside that list aren't counted. Other faiths shown individually.

Education (highest level attained)

High School
39%
TAFE Educated
33%
University Educated
18%

People aged 15+. University Educated: Bachelor degree or higher. TAFE Educated: Certificate or Diploma. High School: no further qualification.

Housing

Owned (No Mortgage)
35%
Owned (Active Mortgage)
35%
Renting
26%

Most homes here are a separate house. Typical rent is $280/week; typical mortgage payment is $339/week.

Occupation

White collar
51%
Blue collar
47%

Employed people (15+). White collar: Managers, Professionals, Clerical & Administrative, Sales. Blue collar: Trades, Community & Personal Service, Machinery Operators, Labourers.

Past Results | Benambra

2022Projection
ALP13.1%10.3%
LIB42.9%39.3%
GRN3.9%6.0%
ONP—31.3%
Independent31.7%8.5%
Other8.5%4.6%

Latest update: 2 October 2026