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Victorian state district · Southern Metropolitan

Bentleigh

Results and projection for this Legislative Assembly district.

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Next Election (Projected)

Current result

Coalition (Liberal) wins in 55% of simulations
Coalition (Liberal) 51.4%
Labor 48.6%

The win-probability figure above comes from a separate 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulation (see the Victoria Election Map page for methodology) built on this same TCP margin — it's how often that margin survives statewide polling uncertainty plus seat-level noise, not a different projection.

ALP
33.2%
Labor
LIB
31.7%
Coalition (Liberal)Projected winner
ONP
19.0%
One Nation
GRN
12.6%
Greens
OTH
3.5%
Other
Get to know the district

Bentleigh

4.3%
Unemployment rate
0.7pt below Victoria's 5% average
Population
76,579
Median age
40
Median household income
$2150/wk
Aboriginal / Torres Strait Islander
0%
Classification
Outer Melbourne

Ancestry

European
42%
Australian
24%
Asian
11%

People could report up to two ancestries. Grouped by region from the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller regions outside that list aren't counted.

Language spoken at home

English only
65%
Other languages
19%
Mandarin
7%
Greek
4%
Russian
3%
Hebrew
2%

Language spoken most often at home. "Other languages" is everyone outside the top responses shown.

Religion

No Religion
40%
Christian
33%
Judaism
8%

All people. Christian combines denominations in the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller denominations outside that list aren't counted. Other faiths shown individually.

Education (highest level attained)

University Educated
41%
High School
31%
TAFE Educated
20%

People aged 15+. University Educated: Bachelor degree or higher. TAFE Educated: Certificate or Diploma. High School: no further qualification.

Housing

Owned (Active Mortgage)
37%
Owned (No Mortgage)
34%
Renting
27%

Most homes here are a separate house. Typical rent is $480/week; typical mortgage payment is $576/week.

Occupation

White collar
73%
Blue collar
26%

Employed people (15+). White collar: Managers, Professionals, Clerical & Administrative, Sales. Blue collar: Trades, Community & Personal Service, Machinery Operators, Labourers.

Past Results | Bentleigh

2022Projection
ALP45.8%33.2%
LIB36.3%31.7%
GRN10.7%12.6%
ONP—19.0%
Other5.3%3.5%
Independent1.7%—

Latest update: 2 October 2026