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Victorian state district · North-Eastern Metropolitan

Box Hill

Results and projection for this Legislative Assembly district.

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Next Election (Projected)

Current result

Coalition (Liberal) wins in 56% of simulations
Coalition (Liberal) 50.7%
Labor 49.3%

The win-probability figure above comes from a separate 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulation (see the Victoria Election Map page for methodology) built on this same TCP margin — it's how often that margin survives statewide polling uncertainty plus seat-level noise, not a different projection.

LIB
35.4%
Coalition (Liberal)Projected winner
ALP
30.5%
Labor
GRN
17.3%
Greens
ONP
12.0%
One Nation
OTH
4.8%
Other
Get to know the district

Box Hill

5.4%
Unemployment rate
0.4pt above Victoria's 5% average
Population
84,877
Median age
38
Median household income
$1779/wk
Aboriginal / Torres Strait Islander
0%
Classification
Outer Melbourne

Ancestry

European
42%
Asian
29%
Australian
21%

People could report up to two ancestries. Grouped by region from the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller regions outside that list aren't counted.

Language spoken at home

English only
57%
Mandarin
19%
Other languages
17%
Cantonese
5%
Greek
2%
Vietnamese
1%

Language spoken most often at home. "Other languages" is everyone outside the top responses shown.

Religion

No Religion
46%
Christian
22%
Buddhism
5%

All people. Christian combines denominations in the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller denominations outside that list aren't counted. Other faiths shown individually.

Education (highest level attained)

University Educated
45%
High School
29%
TAFE Educated
17%

People aged 15+. University Educated: Bachelor degree or higher. TAFE Educated: Certificate or Diploma. High School: no further qualification.

Housing

Renting
34%
Owned (No Mortgage)
33%
Owned (Active Mortgage)
30%

Most homes here are a separate house. Typical rent is $410/week; typical mortgage payment is $530/week.

Occupation

White collar
72%
Blue collar
27%

Employed people (15+). White collar: Managers, Professionals, Clerical & Administrative, Sales. Blue collar: Trades, Community & Personal Service, Machinery Operators, Labourers.

Past Results | Box Hill

2022Projection
ALP41.3%30.5%
LIB35.2%35.4%
GRN14.1%17.3%
ONP—12.0%
Other7.3%4.8%
Independent2.0%—

Latest update: 2 October 2026