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Victorian state district · Southern Metropolitan

Brighton

Results and projection for this Legislative Assembly district.

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Next Election (Projected)

Current result

Coalition (Liberal) wins in 100% of simulations
Coalition (Liberal) 65.0%
Greens 35.0%

The win-probability figure above comes from a separate 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulation (see the Victoria Election Map page for methodology) built on this same TCP margin — it's how often that margin survives statewide polling uncertainty plus seat-level noise, not a different projection.

LIB
48.3%
Coalition (Liberal)Projected winner
ALP
17.5%
Labor
GRN
17.2%
Greens
ONP
12.0%
One Nation
OTH
5.0%
Other
Get to know the district

Brighton

4%
Unemployment rate
1.0pt below Victoria's 5% average
Population
66,052
Median age
43
Median household income
$2407/wk
Aboriginal / Torres Strait Islander
0%
Classification
Inner Melbourne

Ancestry

European
67%
Australian
28%

People could report up to two ancestries. Grouped by region from the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller regions outside that list aren't counted.

Language spoken at home

English only
79%
Other languages
13%
Mandarin
3%
Greek
2%
Russian
1%
Italian
1%

Language spoken most often at home. "Other languages" is everyone outside the top responses shown.

Religion

No Religion
45%
Christian
31%
Judaism
5%

All people. Christian combines denominations in the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller denominations outside that list aren't counted. Other faiths shown individually.

Education (highest level attained)

University Educated
48%
High School
27%
TAFE Educated
16%

People aged 15+. University Educated: Bachelor degree or higher. TAFE Educated: Certificate or Diploma. High School: no further qualification.

Housing

Owned (No Mortgage)
36%
Renting
31%
Owned (Active Mortgage)
30%

Most homes here are a separate house. Typical rent is $480/week; typical mortgage payment is $692/week.

Occupation

White collar
80%
Blue collar
18%

Employed people (15+). White collar: Managers, Professionals, Clerical & Administrative, Sales. Blue collar: Trades, Community & Personal Service, Machinery Operators, Labourers.

Past Results | Brighton

2022Projection
ALP24.7%17.5%
LIB45.6%48.3%
GRN13.8%17.2%
ONP—12.0%
Independent11.9%—
Other4.1%5.0%

Latest update: 2 October 2026