Skip to content
Victorian state district · North-Eastern Metropolitan

Croydon

Results and projection for this Legislative Assembly district.

Back to Victoria Election Map
Next Election (Projected)

Current result

Coalition (Liberal) wins in 94% of simulations
Coalition (Liberal) 58.4%
Labor 41.6%

The win-probability figure above comes from a separate 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulation (see the Victoria Election Map page for methodology) built on this same TCP margin — it's how often that margin survives statewide polling uncertainty plus seat-level noise, not a different projection.

LIB
37.6%
Coalition (Liberal)Projected winner
ALP
23.7%
Labor
ONP
19.6%
One Nation
GRN
12.6%
Greens
OTH
6.5%
Other
Get to know the district

Croydon

4%
Unemployment rate
1.0pt below Victoria's 5% average
Population
74,473
Median age
39
Median household income
$1762/wk
Aboriginal / Torres Strait Islander
1%
Classification
Outer Melbourne

Ancestry

European
59%
Australian
34%
Asian
6%

People could report up to two ancestries. Grouped by region from the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller regions outside that list aren't counted.

Language spoken at home

English only
79%
Other languages
13%
Mandarin
4%
Chin Haka
2%
Cantonese
1%
Persian (excluding Dari)
1%

Language spoken most often at home. "Other languages" is everyone outside the top responses shown.

Religion

No Religion
46%
Christian
30%

All people. Christian combines denominations in the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller denominations outside that list aren't counted. Other faiths shown individually.

Education (highest level attained)

High School
36%
TAFE Educated
28%
University Educated
27%

People aged 15+. University Educated: Bachelor degree or higher. TAFE Educated: Certificate or Diploma. High School: no further qualification.

Housing

Owned (Active Mortgage)
42%
Owned (No Mortgage)
32%
Renting
23%

Most homes here are a separate house. Typical rent is $385/week; typical mortgage payment is $459/week.

Occupation

White collar
60%
Blue collar
39%

Employed people (15+). White collar: Managers, Professionals, Clerical & Administrative, Sales. Blue collar: Trades, Community & Personal Service, Machinery Operators, Labourers.

Past Results | Croydon

2022Projection
ALP34.1%23.7%
LIB43.0%37.6%
GRN10.8%12.6%
ONP—19.6%
Other12.1%6.5%

Latest update: 2 October 2026