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Victorian state district · South-Eastern Metropolitan

Dandenong

Results and projection for this Legislative Assembly district.

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Next Election (Projected)

Current result

Labor wins in 91% of simulations
Labor 56.8%
One Nation 43.2%

The win-probability figure above comes from a separate 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulation (see the Victoria Election Map page for methodology) built on this same TCP margin — it's how often that margin survives statewide polling uncertainty plus seat-level noise, not a different projection.

ALP
39.9%
LaborProjected winner
ONP
25.6%
One Nation
LIB
16.5%
Coalition (Liberal)
GRN
9.6%
Greens
OTH
8.4%
Other
Get to know the district

Dandenong

8.2%
Unemployment rate
3.2pt above Victoria's 5% average
Population
89,531
Median age
35
Median household income
$1349/wk
Aboriginal / Torres Strait Islander
1%
Classification
Outer Melbourne

Ancestry

Asian
19%
European
12%
Australian
12%

People could report up to two ancestries. Grouped by region from the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller regions outside that list aren't counted.

Language spoken at home

Other languages
51%
English only
32%
Hazaraghi
7%
Tamil
3%
Sinhalese
3%
Vietnamese
3%

Language spoken most often at home. "Other languages" is everyone outside the top responses shown.

Religion

Islam
23%
No Religion
18%
Christian
16%
Buddhism
6%

All people. Christian combines denominations in the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller denominations outside that list aren't counted. Other faiths shown individually.

Education (highest level attained)

High School
42%
TAFE Educated
21%
University Educated
19%

People aged 15+. University Educated: Bachelor degree or higher. TAFE Educated: Certificate or Diploma. High School: no further qualification.

Housing

Renting
40%
Owned (Active Mortgage)
29%
Owned (No Mortgage)
28%

Most homes here are a separate house. Typical rent is $330/week; typical mortgage payment is $377/week.

Occupation

Blue collar
57%
White collar
40%

Employed people (15+). White collar: Managers, Professionals, Clerical & Administrative, Sales. Blue collar: Trades, Community & Personal Service, Machinery Operators, Labourers.

Past Results | Dandenong

2022Projection
ALP54.9%39.9%
LIB21.5%16.5%
GRN8.1%9.6%
ONP—25.6%
Other15.5%8.4%

Latest update: 2 October 2026