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Victorian state district · Northern Victoria

Eildon

Results and projection for this Legislative Assembly district.

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Next Election (Projected)

Current result

Coalition (Liberal) wins in 85% of simulations
Coalition (Liberal) 56.1%
One Nation 43.9%

The win-probability figure above comes from a separate 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulation (see the Victoria Election Map page for methodology) built on this same TCP margin — it's how often that margin survives statewide polling uncertainty plus seat-level noise, not a different projection.

LIB
38.2%
Coalition (Liberal)Projected winner
ONP
27.9%
One Nation
ALP
16.8%
Labor
GRN
12.2%
Greens
OTH
4.9%
Other
Get to know the district

Eildon

3.2%
Unemployment rate
1.8pt below Victoria's 5% average
Population
66,341
Median age
46
Median household income
$1486/wk
Aboriginal / Torres Strait Islander
2%
Classification
Rural

Ancestry

European
74%
Australian
40%

People could report up to two ancestries. Grouped by region from the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller regions outside that list aren't counted.

Language spoken at home

English only
89%
Other languages
10%
German
1%
Italian
0%
Mandarin
0%
Dutch
0%

Language spoken most often at home. "Other languages" is everyone outside the top responses shown.

Religion

No Religion
54%
Christian
26%

All people. Christian combines denominations in the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller denominations outside that list aren't counted. Other faiths shown individually.

Education (highest level attained)

High School
37%
TAFE Educated
32%
University Educated
17%

People aged 15+. University Educated: Bachelor degree or higher. TAFE Educated: Certificate or Diploma. High School: no further qualification.

Housing

Owned (No Mortgage)
42%
Owned (Active Mortgage)
41%
Renting
13%

Most homes here are a separate house. Typical rent is $310/week; typical mortgage payment is $400/week.

Occupation

White collar
49%
Blue collar
49%

Employed people (15+). White collar: Managers, Professionals, Clerical & Administrative, Sales. Blue collar: Trades, Community & Personal Service, Machinery Operators, Labourers.

Past Results | Eildon

2022Projection
ALP29.0%16.8%
LIB47.4%38.2%
GRN11.2%12.2%
ONP—27.9%
Other12.5%4.9%

Latest update: 2 October 2026