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Victorian state district · North-Eastern Metropolitan

Eltham

Results and projection for this Legislative Assembly district.

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Next Election (Projected)

Current result

Coalition (Liberal) wins in 47% of simulations
Coalition (Liberal) 50.2%
Labor 49.8%

The win-probability figure above comes from a separate 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulation (see the Victoria Election Map page for methodology) built on this same TCP margin — it's how often that margin survives statewide polling uncertainty plus seat-level noise, not a different projection.

ALP
32.3%
Labor
LIB
31.5%
Coalition (Liberal)Projected winner
ONP
17.7%
One Nation
GRN
15.5%
Greens
OTH
3.0%
Other
Get to know the district

Eltham

3.6%
Unemployment rate
1.4pt below Victoria's 5% average
Population
66,329
Median age
42
Median household income
$2358/wk
Aboriginal / Torres Strait Islander
1%
Classification
Outer Melbourne

Ancestry

European
73%
Australian
35%

People could report up to two ancestries. Grouped by region from the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller regions outside that list aren't counted.

Language spoken at home

English only
86%
Other languages
9%
Mandarin
2%
Italian
2%
Greek
1%
Persian (excluding Dari)
1%

Language spoken most often at home. "Other languages" is everyone outside the top responses shown.

Religion

No Religion
48%
Christian
35%

All people. Christian combines denominations in the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller denominations outside that list aren't counted. Other faiths shown individually.

Education (highest level attained)

University Educated
35%
High School
32%
TAFE Educated
26%

People aged 15+. University Educated: Bachelor degree or higher. TAFE Educated: Certificate or Diploma. High School: no further qualification.

Housing

Owned (Active Mortgage)
45%
Owned (No Mortgage)
41%
Renting
12%

Most homes here are a separate house. Typical rent is $427/week; typical mortgage payment is $508/week.

Occupation

White collar
69%
Blue collar
30%

Employed people (15+). White collar: Managers, Professionals, Clerical & Administrative, Sales. Blue collar: Trades, Community & Personal Service, Machinery Operators, Labourers.

Past Results | Eltham

2022Projection
ALP44.5%32.3%
LIB35.6%31.5%
GRN13.5%15.5%
ONP—17.7%
Other6.4%3.0%

Latest update: 2 October 2026