Victorian state district · Western Victoria
Eureka
Results and projection for this Legislative Assembly district.
Back to Victoria Election Map
Next Election (Projected)
Current result
One Nation wins in 65% of simulations
The win-probability figure above comes from a separate 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulation (see the Victoria Election Map page for methodology) built on this same TCP margin — it's how often that margin survives statewide polling uncertainty plus seat-level noise, not a different projection.
ONP
33.2%
One NationProjected winner
ALP
25.6%
Labor
LIB
22.5%
Coalition (Liberal)
GRN
12.0%
Greens
OTH
6.7%
Other
Get to know the district
Eureka
Population
75,628
Median age
39
Median household income
$1625/wk
Aboriginal / Torres Strait Islander
2%
Classification
Provincial
Religion
All people. Christian combines denominations in the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller denominations outside that list aren't counted. Other faiths shown individually.
Housing
Most homes here are a separate house. Typical rent is $300/week; typical mortgage payment is $375/week.
Past Results | Eureka
| 2022 | Projection | |
|---|---|---|
| ALP | 41.0% | 25.6% |
| LIB | 31.6% | 22.5% |
| GRN | 10.8% | 12.0% |
| ONP | — | 33.2% |
| Other | 12.2% | 6.7% |
| Independent | 4.4% | — |
Latest update: 2 October 2026