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Victorian state district · Eastern Victoria

Evelyn

Results and projection for this Legislative Assembly district.

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Next Election (Projected)

Current result

Coalition (Liberal) wins in 96% of simulations
Coalition (Liberal) 62.8%
Labor 37.2%

The win-probability figure above comes from a separate 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulation (see the Victoria Election Map page for methodology) built on this same TCP margin — it's how often that margin survives statewide polling uncertainty plus seat-level noise, not a different projection.

LIB
41.3%
Coalition (Liberal)Projected winner
ONP
22.9%
One Nation
ALP
20.2%
Labor
GRN
10.6%
Greens
OTH
5.0%
Other
Get to know the district

Evelyn

3.3%
Unemployment rate
1.7pt below Victoria's 5% average
Population
69,153
Median age
38
Median household income
$2005/wk
Aboriginal / Torres Strait Islander
1%
Classification
Outer Melbourne

Ancestry

European
69%
Australian
39%

People could report up to two ancestries. Grouped by region from the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller regions outside that list aren't counted.

Language spoken at home

English only
87%
Other languages
9%
Mandarin
1%
Italian
1%
Chin Haka
1%
Cantonese
0%

Language spoken most often at home. "Other languages" is everyone outside the top responses shown.

Religion

No Religion
49%
Christian
30%

All people. Christian combines denominations in the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller denominations outside that list aren't counted. Other faiths shown individually.

Education (highest level attained)

High School
39%
TAFE Educated
34%
University Educated
20%

People aged 15+. University Educated: Bachelor degree or higher. TAFE Educated: Certificate or Diploma. High School: no further qualification.

Housing

Owned (Active Mortgage)
50%
Owned (No Mortgage)
34%
Renting
14%

Most homes here are a separate house. Typical rent is $390/week; typical mortgage payment is $462/week.

Occupation

White collar
53%
Blue collar
45%

Employed people (15+). White collar: Managers, Professionals, Clerical & Administrative, Sales. Blue collar: Trades, Community & Personal Service, Machinery Operators, Labourers.

Past Results | Evelyn

2022Projection
ALP32.7%20.2%
LIB46.7%41.3%
GRN9.3%10.6%
ONP—22.9%
Other9.5%5.0%
Independent1.8%—

Latest update: 2 October 2026