Victorian state district · North-Eastern Metropolitan
Glen Waverley
Results and projection for this Legislative Assembly district.
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Next Election (Projected)
Current result
Coalition (Liberal) wins in 86% of simulations
The win-probability figure above comes from a separate 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulation (see the Victoria Election Map page for methodology) built on this same TCP margin — it's how often that margin survives statewide polling uncertainty plus seat-level noise, not a different projection.
LIB
37.6%
Coalition (Liberal)Projected winner
ALP
29.6%
Labor
ONP
15.8%
One Nation
GRN
11.8%
Greens
OTH
5.2%
Other
Get to know the district
Glen Waverley
Population
82,290
Median age
42
Median household income
$1924/wk
Aboriginal / Torres Strait Islander
0%
Classification
Outer Melbourne
Religion
All people. Christian combines denominations in the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller denominations outside that list aren't counted. Other faiths shown individually.
Housing
Most homes here are a separate house. Typical rent is $462/week; typical mortgage payment is $565/week.
Past Results | Glen Waverley
| 2022 | Projection | |
|---|---|---|
| ALP | 40.6% | 29.6% |
| LIB | 40.2% | 37.6% |
| GRN | 9.6% | 11.8% |
| ONP | — | 15.8% |
| Other | 9.6% | 5.2% |
Latest update: 2 October 2026