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Victorian state district · Eastern Victoria

Hastings

Results and projection for this Legislative Assembly district.

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Next Election (Projected)

Current result

Coalition (Liberal) wins in 53% of simulations
Coalition (Liberal) 51.6%
One Nation 48.4%

The win-probability figure above comes from a separate 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulation (see the Victoria Election Map page for methodology) built on this same TCP margin — it's how often that margin survives statewide polling uncertainty plus seat-level noise, not a different projection.

ONP
30.6%
One Nation
LIB
29.3%
Coalition (Liberal)Projected winner
ALP
23.7%
Labor
GRN
11.1%
Greens
OTH
5.3%
Other
Get to know the district

Hastings

3.4%
Unemployment rate
1.6pt below Victoria's 5% average
Population
66,617
Median age
40
Median household income
$1692/wk
Aboriginal / Torres Strait Islander
1%
Classification
Outer Melbourne

Ancestry

European
71%
Australian
42%

People could report up to two ancestries. Grouped by region from the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller regions outside that list aren't counted.

Language spoken at home

English only
91%
Other languages
8%
Italian
0%
Greek
0%
Mandarin
0%
German
0%

Language spoken most often at home. "Other languages" is everyone outside the top responses shown.

Religion

No Religion
53%
Christian
30%

All people. Christian combines denominations in the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller denominations outside that list aren't counted. Other faiths shown individually.

Education (highest level attained)

High School
41%
TAFE Educated
35%
University Educated
14%

People aged 15+. University Educated: Bachelor degree or higher. TAFE Educated: Certificate or Diploma. High School: no further qualification.

Housing

Owned (Active Mortgage)
44%
Owned (No Mortgage)
34%
Renting
19%

Most homes here are a separate house. Typical rent is $351/week; typical mortgage payment is $415/week.

Occupation

Blue collar
50%
White collar
48%

Employed people (15+). White collar: Managers, Professionals, Clerical & Administrative, Sales. Blue collar: Trades, Community & Personal Service, Machinery Operators, Labourers.

Past Results | Hastings

2022Projection
ALP37.3%23.7%
LIB39.8%29.3%
GRN10.0%11.1%
ONP—30.6%
Other11.6%5.3%
Independent1.3%—

Latest update: 2 October 2026