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Victorian state district · Southern Metropolitan

Kew

Results and projection for this Legislative Assembly district.

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Next Election (Projected)

Current result

Coalition (Liberal) wins in 87% of simulations
Coalition (Liberal) 54.5%
Independent 45.5%

The win-probability figure above comes from a separate 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulation (see the Victoria Election Map page for methodology) built on this same TCP margin — it's how often that margin survives statewide polling uncertainty plus seat-level noise, not a different projection.

LIB
42.9%
Coalition (Liberal)Projected winner
IND
19.3%
Independent
ALP
15.6%
Labor
ONP
10.9%
One Nation
GRN
10.1%
Greens
OTH
1.2%
Other
Get to know the district

Kew

4.5%
Unemployment rate
0.5pt below Victoria's 5% average
Population
73,612
Median age
42
Median household income
$2353/wk
Aboriginal / Torres Strait Islander
0%
Classification
Inner Melbourne

Ancestry

European
42%
Asian
24%
Australian
20%

People could report up to two ancestries. Grouped by region from the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller regions outside that list aren't counted.

Language spoken at home

English only
61%
Other languages
15%
Mandarin
14%
Cantonese
5%
Greek
4%
Italian
2%

Language spoken most often at home. "Other languages" is everyone outside the top responses shown.

Religion

No Religion
43%
Christian
34%

All people. Christian combines denominations in the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller denominations outside that list aren't counted. Other faiths shown individually.

Education (highest level attained)

University Educated
50%
High School
29%
TAFE Educated
14%

People aged 15+. University Educated: Bachelor degree or higher. TAFE Educated: Certificate or Diploma. High School: no further qualification.

Housing

Owned (No Mortgage)
43%
Owned (Active Mortgage)
30%
Renting
24%

Most homes here are a separate house. Typical rent is $491/week; typical mortgage payment is $692/week.

Occupation

White collar
80%
Blue collar
19%

Employed people (15+). White collar: Managers, Professionals, Clerical & Administrative, Sales. Blue collar: Trades, Community & Personal Service, Machinery Operators, Labourers.

Past Results | Kew

2022Projection
ALP22.7%15.6%
LIB44.3%42.9%
GRN8.3%10.1%
ONP—10.9%
Independent21.8%19.3%
Other2.9%1.2%

Latest update: 2 October 2026