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Victorian state district · Western Victoria

Lara

Results and projection for this Legislative Assembly district.

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Next Election (Projected)

Current result

One Nation wins in 56% of simulations
One Nation 51.3%
Labor 48.7%

The win-probability figure above comes from a separate 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulation (see the Victoria Election Map page for methodology) built on this same TCP margin — it's how often that margin survives statewide polling uncertainty plus seat-level noise, not a different projection.

ONP
35.6%
One NationProjected winner
ALP
31.1%
Labor
LIB
13.2%
Coalition (Liberal)
GRN
12.2%
Greens
OTH
7.9%
Other
Get to know the district

Lara

5.9%
Unemployment rate
0.9pt above Victoria's 5% average
Population
70,504
Median age
38
Median household income
$1408/wk
Aboriginal / Torres Strait Islander
2%
Classification
Provincial

Ancestry

European
55%
Australian
32%

People could report up to two ancestries. Grouped by region from the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller regions outside that list aren't counted.

Language spoken at home

English only
74%
Other languages
21%
Croatian
2%
Punjabi
1%
Karen
1%
Macedonian
1%

Language spoken most often at home. "Other languages" is everyone outside the top responses shown.

Religion

No Religion
39%
Christian
30%
Islam
3%

All people. Christian combines denominations in the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller denominations outside that list aren't counted. Other faiths shown individually.

Education (highest level attained)

High School
45%
TAFE Educated
27%
University Educated
15%

People aged 15+. University Educated: Bachelor degree or higher. TAFE Educated: Certificate or Diploma. High School: no further qualification.

Housing

Owned (Active Mortgage)
33%
Owned (No Mortgage)
32%
Renting
32%

Most homes here are a separate house. Typical rent is $300/week; typical mortgage payment is $359/week.

Occupation

Blue collar
53%
White collar
45%

Employed people (15+). White collar: Managers, Professionals, Clerical & Administrative, Sales. Blue collar: Trades, Community & Personal Service, Machinery Operators, Labourers.

Past Results | Lara

2022Projection
ALP49.7%31.1%
LIB21.4%13.2%
GRN11.3%12.2%
ONP—35.6%
Other17.6%7.9%

Latest update: 2 October 2026