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Victorian state district · Western Victoria

Lowan

Results and projection for this Legislative Assembly district.

Back to Victoria Election Map
Next Election (Projected)

Current result

Coalition (National) wins in 89% of simulations
Coalition (National) 60.4%
One Nation 39.6%

The win-probability figure above comes from a separate 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulation (see the Victoria Election Map page for methodology) built on this same TCP margin — it's how often that margin survives statewide polling uncertainty plus seat-level noise, not a different projection.

NAT
48.6%
Coalition (National)Projected winner
ONP
33.4%
One Nation
GRN
7.6%
Greens
ALP
6.2%
Labor
OTH
4.2%
Other
Get to know the district

Lowan

3.1%
Unemployment rate
1.9pt below Victoria's 5% average
Population
68,313
Median age
47
Median household income
$1252/wk
Aboriginal / Torres Strait Islander
2%
Classification
Rural

Ancestry

European
74%
Australian
42%

People could report up to two ancestries. Grouped by region from the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller regions outside that list aren't counted.

Language spoken at home

English only
90%
Other languages
9%
Karen
1%
Malayalam
0%
Mandarin
0%
Italian
0%

Language spoken most often at home. "Other languages" is everyone outside the top responses shown.

Religion

No Religion
40%
Christian
35%

All people. Christian combines denominations in the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller denominations outside that list aren't counted. Other faiths shown individually.

Education (highest level attained)

High School
44%
TAFE Educated
29%
University Educated
14%

People aged 15+. University Educated: Bachelor degree or higher. TAFE Educated: Certificate or Diploma. High School: no further qualification.

Housing

Owned (No Mortgage)
47%
Owned (Active Mortgage)
28%
Renting
20%

Most homes here are a separate house. Typical rent is $210/week; typical mortgage payment is $240/week.

Occupation

White collar
56%
Blue collar
43%

Employed people (15+). White collar: Managers, Professionals, Clerical & Administrative, Sales. Blue collar: Trades, Community & Personal Service, Machinery Operators, Labourers.

Past Results | Lowan

2022Projection
ALP19.6%6.2%
LIB——
GRN6.0%7.6%
ONP—33.4%
Coalition (National)59.0%48.6%
Other9.9%4.2%
Independent5.5%—

Latest update: 2 October 2026