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Victorian state district · Northern Victoria

Macedon

Results and projection for this Legislative Assembly district.

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Next Election (Projected)

Current result

Coalition (Liberal) wins in 33% of simulations
Coalition (Liberal) 50.8%
Labor 49.2%

The win-probability figure above comes from a separate 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulation (see the Victoria Election Map page for methodology) built on this same TCP margin — it's how often that margin survives statewide polling uncertainty plus seat-level noise, not a different projection.

ALP
28.1%
Labor
LIB
25.8%
Coalition (Liberal)Projected winner
ONP
24.4%
One Nation
GRN
15.4%
Greens
OTH
6.3%
Other
Get to know the district

Macedon

3.3%
Unemployment rate
1.7pt below Victoria's 5% average
Population
64,175
Median age
45
Median household income
$1884/wk
Aboriginal / Torres Strait Islander
1%
Classification
Outer Melbourne

Ancestry

European
76%
Australian
39%

People could report up to two ancestries. Grouped by region from the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller regions outside that list aren't counted.

Language spoken at home

English only
90%
Other languages
9%
Italian
1%
Mandarin
0%
German
0%
Greek
0%

Language spoken most often at home. "Other languages" is everyone outside the top responses shown.

Religion

No Religion
50%
Christian
34%

All people. Christian combines denominations in the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller denominations outside that list aren't counted. Other faiths shown individually.

Education (highest level attained)

High School
34%
TAFE Educated
28%
University Educated
27%

People aged 15+. University Educated: Bachelor degree or higher. TAFE Educated: Certificate or Diploma. High School: no further qualification.

Housing

Owned (Active Mortgage)
43%
Owned (No Mortgage)
41%
Renting
13%

Most homes here are a separate house. Typical rent is $371/week; typical mortgage payment is $450/week.

Occupation

White collar
59%
Blue collar
39%

Employed people (15+). White collar: Managers, Professionals, Clerical & Administrative, Sales. Blue collar: Trades, Community & Personal Service, Machinery Operators, Labourers.

Past Results | Macedon

2022Projection
ALP41.4%28.1%
LIB30.0%25.8%
GRN12.5%15.4%
ONP3.6%24.4%
Other7.1%6.3%
Independent5.4%—

Latest update: 2 October 2026