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Victorian state district · Southern Metropolitan

Malvern

Results and projection for this Legislative Assembly district.

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Next Election (Projected)

Current result

Coalition (Liberal) wins in 100% of simulations
Coalition (Liberal) 65.3%
Greens 34.7%

The win-probability figure above comes from a separate 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulation (see the Victoria Election Map page for methodology) built on this same TCP margin — it's how often that margin survives statewide polling uncertainty plus seat-level noise, not a different projection.

LIB
51.4%
Coalition (Liberal)Projected winner
GRN
18.7%
Greens
ALP
17.8%
Labor
ONP
10.2%
One Nation
OTH
1.9%
Other
Get to know the district

Malvern

4.4%
Unemployment rate
0.6pt below Victoria's 5% average
Population
64,450
Median age
40
Median household income
$2374/wk
Aboriginal / Torres Strait Islander
0%
Classification
Inner Melbourne

Ancestry

European
55%
Australian
26%
Asian
10%

People could report up to two ancestries. Grouped by region from the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller regions outside that list aren't counted.

Language spoken at home

English only
75%
Other languages
14%
Mandarin
5%
Greek
4%
Cantonese
2%
Italian
1%

Language spoken most often at home. "Other languages" is everyone outside the top responses shown.

Religion

No Religion
39%
Christian
36%
Judaism
5%

All people. Christian combines denominations in the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller denominations outside that list aren't counted. Other faiths shown individually.

Education (highest level attained)

University Educated
52%
High School
26%
TAFE Educated
14%

People aged 15+. University Educated: Bachelor degree or higher. TAFE Educated: Certificate or Diploma. High School: no further qualification.

Housing

Owned (No Mortgage)
36%
Renting
34%
Owned (Active Mortgage)
28%

Most homes here are a separate house. Typical rent is $430/week; typical mortgage payment is $646/week.

Occupation

White collar
80%
Blue collar
18%

Employed people (15+). White collar: Managers, Professionals, Clerical & Administrative, Sales. Blue collar: Trades, Community & Personal Service, Machinery Operators, Labourers.

Past Results | Malvern

2022Projection
ALP26.1%17.8%
LIB52.8%51.4%
GRN15.6%18.7%
ONP—10.2%
Other4.0%1.9%
Independent1.5%—

Latest update: 2 October 2026