Skip to content
Victorian state district · Northern Metropolitan

Melbourne

Results and projection for this Legislative Assembly district.

Back to Victoria Election Map
Next Election (Projected)

Current result

Greens wins in 98% of simulations
Greens 57.5%
Labor 42.5%

The win-probability figure above comes from a separate 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulation (see the Victoria Election Map page for methodology) built on this same TCP margin — it's how often that margin survives statewide polling uncertainty plus seat-level noise, not a different projection.

GRN
43.4%
GreensProjected winner
ALP
23.5%
Labor
LIB
16.2%
Coalition (Liberal)
ONP
8.5%
One Nation
OTH
8.4%
Other
Get to know the district

Melbourne

8%
Unemployment rate
3.0pt above Victoria's 5% average
Population
118,384
Median age
29
Median household income
$1572/wk
Aboriginal / Torres Strait Islander
1%
Classification
Inner Melbourne

Ancestry

European
35%
Asian
23%
Australian
14%

People could report up to two ancestries. Grouped by region from the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller regions outside that list aren't counted.

Language spoken at home

English only
47%
Other languages
30%
Mandarin
15%
Cantonese
3%
Vietnamese
2%
Spanish
2%

Language spoken most often at home. "Other languages" is everyone outside the top responses shown.

Religion

No Religion
50%
Christian
12%
Buddhism
6%
Hinduism
6%

All people. Christian combines denominations in the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller denominations outside that list aren't counted. Other faiths shown individually.

Education (highest level attained)

University Educated
54%
High School
22%
TAFE Educated
13%

People aged 15+. University Educated: Bachelor degree or higher. TAFE Educated: Certificate or Diploma. High School: no further qualification.

Housing

Renting
69%
Owned (Active Mortgage)
15%
Owned (No Mortgage)
13%

Most homes here are a flat or apartment. Typical rent is $381/week; typical mortgage payment is $450/week.

Occupation

White collar
70%
Blue collar
28%

Employed people (15+). White collar: Managers, Professionals, Clerical & Administrative, Sales. Blue collar: Trades, Community & Personal Service, Machinery Operators, Labourers.

Past Results | Melbourne

2022Projection
ALP30.6%23.5%
LIB17.7%16.2%
GRN37.3%43.4%
ONP—8.5%
Other14.4%8.4%

Latest update: 2 October 2026