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Victorian state district · Western Victoria

Melton

Results and projection for this Legislative Assembly district.

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Next Election (Projected)

Current result

One Nation wins in 67% of simulations
One Nation 55.6%
Labor 44.4%

The win-probability figure above comes from a separate 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulation (see the Victoria Election Map page for methodology) built on this same TCP margin — it's how often that margin survives statewide polling uncertainty plus seat-level noise, not a different projection.

ONP
33.0%
One NationProjected winner
ALP
23.5%
Labor
LIB
21.6%
Coalition (Liberal)
OTH
14.1%
Other
GRN
7.8%
Greens
Get to know the district

Melton

6.8%
Unemployment rate
1.8pt above Victoria's 5% average
Population
82,799
Median age
33
Median household income
$1576/wk
Aboriginal / Torres Strait Islander
2%
Classification
Outer Melbourne

Ancestry

European
43%
Australian
30%
Asian
5%

People could report up to two ancestries. Grouped by region from the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller regions outside that list aren't counted.

Language spoken at home

English only
68%
Other languages
24%
Punjabi
5%
Hindi
1%
Urdu
1%
Samoan
1%

Language spoken most often at home. "Other languages" is everyone outside the top responses shown.

Religion

No Religion
34%
Christian
30%
Sikhism
5%

All people. Christian combines denominations in the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller denominations outside that list aren't counted. Other faiths shown individually.

Education (highest level attained)

High School
43%
TAFE Educated
29%
University Educated
16%

People aged 15+. University Educated: Bachelor degree or higher. TAFE Educated: Certificate or Diploma. High School: no further qualification.

Housing

Owned (Active Mortgage)
48%
Renting
28%
Owned (No Mortgage)
22%

Most homes here are a separate house. Typical rent is $331/week; typical mortgage payment is $381/week.

Occupation

Blue collar
53%
White collar
45%

Employed people (15+). White collar: Managers, Professionals, Clerical & Administrative, Sales. Blue collar: Trades, Community & Personal Service, Machinery Operators, Labourers.

Past Results | Melton

2022Projection
ALP37.7%23.5%
LIB24.3%21.6%
GRN4.6%7.8%
ONP—33.0%
Other18.2%14.1%
Independent15.2%—

Latest update: 2 October 2026