Skip to content
Victorian state district · Northern Victoria

Mildura

Results and projection for this Legislative Assembly district.

Back to Victoria Election Map
Next Election (Projected)

Current result

Coalition (National) wins in 39% of simulations
Coalition (National) 55.7%
Independent 44.3%

The win-probability figure above comes from a separate 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulation (see the Victoria Election Map page for methodology) built on this same TCP margin — it's how often that margin survives statewide polling uncertainty plus seat-level noise, not a different projection.

ONP
33.4%
One Nation
IND
31.1%
Independent
NAT
28.2%
Coalition (National)Projected winner
GRN
3.4%
Greens
OTH
2.8%
Other
ALP
1.1%
Labor
Get to know the district

Mildura

5.1%
Unemployment rate
0.1pt above Victoria's 5% average
Population
69,753
Median age
41
Median household income
$1309/wk
Aboriginal / Torres Strait Islander
5%
Classification
Provincial

Ancestry

European
61%
Australian
36%

People could report up to two ancestries. Grouped by region from the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller regions outside that list aren't counted.

Language spoken at home

English only
79%
Other languages
16%
Mandarin
2%
Italian
2%
Vietnamese
1%
Tongan
1%

Language spoken most often at home. "Other languages" is everyone outside the top responses shown.

Religion

No Religion
40%
Christian
34%

All people. Christian combines denominations in the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller denominations outside that list aren't counted. Other faiths shown individually.

Education (highest level attained)

High School
46%
TAFE Educated
26%
University Educated
12%

People aged 15+. University Educated: Bachelor degree or higher. TAFE Educated: Certificate or Diploma. High School: no further qualification.

Housing

Owned (No Mortgage)
37%
Owned (Active Mortgage)
30%
Renting
28%

Most homes here are a separate house. Typical rent is $250/week; typical mortgage payment is $277/week.

Occupation

White collar
51%
Blue collar
47%

Employed people (15+). White collar: Managers, Professionals, Clerical & Administrative, Sales. Blue collar: Trades, Community & Personal Service, Machinery Operators, Labourers.

Past Results | Mildura

2022Projection
ALP6.5%1.1%
LIB19.1%—
GRN2.3%3.4%
ONP—33.4%
Independent38.4%31.1%
Coalition (National)25.9%28.2%
Other7.8%2.8%

Latest update: 2 October 2026