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Victorian state district · North-Eastern Metropolitan

Mill Park

Results and projection for this Legislative Assembly district.

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Next Election (Projected)

Current result

One Nation wins in 42% of simulations
One Nation 50.1%
Labor 49.9%

The win-probability figure above comes from a separate 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulation (see the Victoria Election Map page for methodology) built on this same TCP margin — it's how often that margin survives statewide polling uncertainty plus seat-level noise, not a different projection.

ALP
31.8%
Labor
ONP
30.6%
One NationProjected winner
LIB
19.6%
Coalition (Liberal)
GRN
9.4%
Greens
OTH
8.6%
Other
Get to know the district

Mill Park

5.8%
Unemployment rate
0.8pt above Victoria's 5% average
Population
68,500
Median age
37
Median household income
$1828/wk
Aboriginal / Torres Strait Islander
1%
Classification
Outer Melbourne

Ancestry

European
39%
Australian
20%
Asian
7%

People could report up to two ancestries. Grouped by region from the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller regions outside that list aren't counted.

Language spoken at home

English only
53%
Other languages
30%
Macedonian
5%
Arabic
5%
Italian
4%
Greek
3%

Language spoken most often at home. "Other languages" is everyone outside the top responses shown.

Religion

Christian
39%
No Religion
23%
Islam
8%

All people. Christian combines denominations in the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller denominations outside that list aren't counted. Other faiths shown individually.

Education (highest level attained)

High School
41%
TAFE Educated
26%
University Educated
23%

People aged 15+. University Educated: Bachelor degree or higher. TAFE Educated: Certificate or Diploma. High School: no further qualification.

Housing

Owned (Active Mortgage)
44%
Owned (No Mortgage)
30%
Renting
23%

Most homes here are a separate house. Typical rent is $370/week; typical mortgage payment is $415/week.

Occupation

White collar
54%
Blue collar
44%

Employed people (15+). White collar: Managers, Professionals, Clerical & Administrative, Sales. Blue collar: Trades, Community & Personal Service, Machinery Operators, Labourers.

Past Results | Mill Park

2022Projection
ALP49.9%31.8%
LIB25.9%19.6%
GRN7.3%9.4%
ONP—30.6%
Other16.9%8.6%

Latest update: 2 October 2026