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Victorian state district · Eastern Victoria

Morwell

Results and projection for this Legislative Assembly district.

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Next Election (Projected)

Current result

One Nation wins in 51% of simulations
One Nation 50.4%
Coalition (National) 49.6%

The win-probability figure above comes from a separate 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulation (see the Victoria Election Map page for methodology) built on this same TCP margin — it's how often that margin survives statewide polling uncertainty plus seat-level noise, not a different projection.

ONP
38.0%
One NationProjected winner
NAT
29.7%
Coalition (National)
ALP
17.8%
Labor
OTH
8.5%
Other
GRN
6.0%
Greens
Get to know the district

Morwell

6.2%
Unemployment rate
1.2pt above Victoria's 5% average
Population
72,501
Median age
41
Median household income
$1243/wk
Aboriginal / Torres Strait Islander
3%
Classification
Provincial

Ancestry

European
65%
Australian
40%

People could report up to two ancestries. Grouped by region from the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller regions outside that list aren't counted.

Language spoken at home

English only
86%
Other languages
12%
Italian
1%
Greek
0%
Mandarin
0%
Malayalam
0%

Language spoken most often at home. "Other languages" is everyone outside the top responses shown.

Religion

No Religion
48%
Christian
32%

All people. Christian combines denominations in the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller denominations outside that list aren't counted. Other faiths shown individually.

Education (highest level attained)

High School
42%
TAFE Educated
31%
University Educated
13%

People aged 15+. University Educated: Bachelor degree or higher. TAFE Educated: Certificate or Diploma. High School: no further qualification.

Housing

Owned (No Mortgage)
37%
Owned (Active Mortgage)
33%
Renting
27%

Most homes here are a separate house. Typical rent is $236/week; typical mortgage payment is $280/week.

Occupation

White collar
50%
Blue collar
48%

Employed people (15+). White collar: Managers, Professionals, Clerical & Administrative, Sales. Blue collar: Trades, Community & Personal Service, Machinery Operators, Labourers.

Past Results | Morwell

2022Projection
ALP31.5%17.8%
LIB15.5%—
GRN4.2%6.0%
ONP6.1%38.0%
Coalition (National)22.9%29.7%
Other10.1%8.5%
Independent9.7%—

Latest update: 2 October 2026