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Victorian state district · South-Eastern Metropolitan

Mulgrave

Results and projection for this Legislative Assembly district.

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Next Election (Projected)

Current result

Labor wins in 78% of simulations
Labor 54.3%
One Nation 45.7%

The win-probability figure above comes from a separate 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulation (see the Victoria Election Map page for methodology) built on this same TCP margin — it's how often that margin survives statewide polling uncertainty plus seat-level noise, not a different projection.

ALP
38.4%
LaborProjected winner
ONP
23.9%
One Nation
LIB
22.5%
Coalition (Liberal)
GRN
7.7%
Greens
OTH
7.5%
Other
Get to know the district

Mulgrave

5.7%
Unemployment rate
0.7pt above Victoria's 5% average
Population
77,039
Median age
39
Median household income
$1537/wk
Aboriginal / Torres Strait Islander
0%
Classification
Outer Melbourne

Ancestry

Asian
24%
European
22%
Australian
14%

People could report up to two ancestries. Grouped by region from the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller regions outside that list aren't counted.

Language spoken at home

English only
42%
Other languages
35%
Mandarin
9%
Vietnamese
6%
Greek
5%
Cantonese
4%

Language spoken most often at home. "Other languages" is everyone outside the top responses shown.

Religion

Christian
29%
No Religion
27%
Buddhism
9%
Islam
6%

All people. Christian combines denominations in the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller denominations outside that list aren't counted. Other faiths shown individually.

Education (highest level attained)

High School
37%
University Educated
30%
TAFE Educated
20%

People aged 15+. University Educated: Bachelor degree or higher. TAFE Educated: Certificate or Diploma. High School: no further qualification.

Housing

Owned (No Mortgage)
36%
Owned (Active Mortgage)
30%
Renting
29%

Most homes here are a separate house. Typical rent is $369/week; typical mortgage payment is $456/week.

Occupation

White collar
58%
Blue collar
40%

Employed people (15+). White collar: Managers, Professionals, Clerical & Administrative, Sales. Blue collar: Trades, Community & Personal Service, Machinery Operators, Labourers.

Past Results | Mulgrave

2022Projection
ALP51.0%38.4%
LIB17.2%22.5%
GRN5.1%7.7%
ONP—23.9%
Independent20.1%—
Other6.6%7.5%

Latest update: 2 October 2026