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Victorian state district · Northern Victoria

Murray Plains

Results and projection for this Legislative Assembly district.

Back to Victoria Election Map
Next Election (Projected)

Current result

Coalition (National) wins in 81% of simulations
Coalition (National) 57.8%
One Nation 42.2%

The win-probability figure above comes from a separate 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulation (see the Victoria Election Map page for methodology) built on this same TCP margin — it's how often that margin survives statewide polling uncertainty plus seat-level noise, not a different projection.

NAT
46.7%
Coalition (National)Projected winner
ONP
36.3%
One Nation
ALP
6.4%
Labor
GRN
5.3%
Greens
OTH
5.3%
Other
Get to know the district

Murray Plains

3.4%
Unemployment rate
1.6pt below Victoria's 5% average
Population
64,766
Median age
45
Median household income
$1270/wk
Aboriginal / Torres Strait Islander
4%
Classification
Rural

Ancestry

European
67%
Australian
43%

People could report up to two ancestries. Grouped by region from the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller regions outside that list aren't counted.

Language spoken at home

English only
87%
Other languages
11%
Italian
1%
Punjabi
0%
Filipino
0%
Mandarin
0%

Language spoken most often at home. "Other languages" is everyone outside the top responses shown.

Religion

No Religion
41%
Christian
39%

All people. Christian combines denominations in the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller denominations outside that list aren't counted. Other faiths shown individually.

Education (highest level attained)

High School
47%
TAFE Educated
28%
University Educated
12%

People aged 15+. University Educated: Bachelor degree or higher. TAFE Educated: Certificate or Diploma. High School: no further qualification.

Housing

Owned (No Mortgage)
42%
Owned (Active Mortgage)
30%
Renting
23%

Most homes here are a separate house. Typical rent is $230/week; typical mortgage payment is $290/week.

Occupation

White collar
50%
Blue collar
48%

Employed people (15+). White collar: Managers, Professionals, Clerical & Administrative, Sales. Blue collar: Trades, Community & Personal Service, Machinery Operators, Labourers.

Past Results | Murray Plains

2022Projection
ALP18.8%6.4%
LIB——
GRN3.9%5.3%
ONP—36.3%
Coalition (National)61.8%46.7%
Other15.6%5.3%

Latest update: 2 October 2026