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Victorian state district · South-Eastern Metropolitan

Narre Warren North

Results and projection for this Legislative Assembly district.

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Next Election (Projected)

Current result

One Nation wins in 57% of simulations
One Nation 52.6%
Labor 47.4%

The win-probability figure above comes from a separate 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulation (see the Victoria Election Map page for methodology) built on this same TCP margin — it's how often that margin survives statewide polling uncertainty plus seat-level noise, not a different projection.

ONP
33.2%
One NationProjected winner
ALP
30.0%
Labor
LIB
20.3%
Coalition (Liberal)
OTH
8.3%
Other
GRN
8.2%
Greens
Get to know the district

Narre Warren North

6%
Unemployment rate
1.0pt above Victoria's 5% average
Population
77,866
Median age
37
Median household income
$1778/wk
Aboriginal / Torres Strait Islander
1%
Classification
Outer Melbourne

Ancestry

European
25%
Australian
21%
Asian
12%

People could report up to two ancestries. Grouped by region from the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller regions outside that list aren't counted.

Language spoken at home

English only
52%
Other languages
36%
Mandarin
3%
Sinhalese
3%
Hazaraghi
3%
Dari
3%

Language spoken most often at home. "Other languages" is everyone outside the top responses shown.

Religion

No Religion
27%
Christian
27%
Islam
12%

All people. Christian combines denominations in the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller denominations outside that list aren't counted. Other faiths shown individually.

Education (highest level attained)

High School
41%
TAFE Educated
27%
University Educated
21%

People aged 15+. University Educated: Bachelor degree or higher. TAFE Educated: Certificate or Diploma. High School: no further qualification.

Housing

Owned (Active Mortgage)
44%
Owned (No Mortgage)
32%
Renting
22%

Most homes here are a separate house. Typical rent is $365/week; typical mortgage payment is $415/week.

Occupation

White collar
52%
Blue collar
46%

Employed people (15+). White collar: Managers, Professionals, Clerical & Administrative, Sales. Blue collar: Trades, Community & Personal Service, Machinery Operators, Labourers.

Past Results | Narre Warren North

2022Projection
ALP46.8%30.0%
LIB27.3%20.3%
GRN6.8%8.2%
ONP—33.2%
Other17.0%8.3%
Independent2.2%—

Latest update: 2 October 2026