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Victorian state district · Western Metropolitan

Niddrie

Results and projection for this Legislative Assembly district.

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Next Election (Projected)

Current result

One Nation wins in 53% of simulations
One Nation 53.3%
Labor 46.7%

The win-probability figure above comes from a separate 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulation (see the Victoria Election Map page for methodology) built on this same TCP margin — it's how often that margin survives statewide polling uncertainty plus seat-level noise, not a different projection.

ONP
32.1%
One NationProjected winner
ALP
28.5%
Labor
LIB
24.0%
Coalition (Liberal)
GRN
8.6%
Greens
OTH
6.8%
Other
Get to know the district

Niddrie

4.5%
Unemployment rate
0.5pt below Victoria's 5% average
Population
68,768
Median age
42
Median household income
$1939/wk
Aboriginal / Torres Strait Islander
0%
Classification
Inner Melbourne

Ancestry

European
58%
Australian
22%

People could report up to two ancestries. Grouped by region from the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller regions outside that list aren't counted.

Language spoken at home

English only
66%
Other languages
18%
Italian
8%
Greek
4%
Vietnamese
3%
Arabic
2%

Language spoken most often at home. "Other languages" is everyone outside the top responses shown.

Religion

Christian
57%
No Religion
24%

All people. Christian combines denominations in the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller denominations outside that list aren't counted. Other faiths shown individually.

Education (highest level attained)

High School
40%
University Educated
28%
TAFE Educated
23%

People aged 15+. University Educated: Bachelor degree or higher. TAFE Educated: Certificate or Diploma. High School: no further qualification.

Housing

Owned (No Mortgage)
43%
Owned (Active Mortgage)
33%
Renting
20%

Most homes here are a separate house. Typical rent is $406/week; typical mortgage payment is $500/week.

Occupation

White collar
66%
Blue collar
32%

Employed people (15+). White collar: Managers, Professionals, Clerical & Administrative, Sales. Blue collar: Trades, Community & Personal Service, Machinery Operators, Labourers.

Past Results | Niddrie

2022Projection
ALP43.9%28.5%
LIB34.0%24.0%
GRN7.4%8.6%
ONP—32.1%
Other14.7%6.8%

Latest update: 2 October 2026