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Victorian state district · Northern Metropolitan

Northcote

Results and projection for this Legislative Assembly district.

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Next Election (Projected)

Current result

Greens wins in 57% of simulations
Greens 50.7%
Labor 49.3%

The win-probability figure above comes from a separate 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulation (see the Victoria Election Map page for methodology) built on this same TCP margin — it's how often that margin survives statewide polling uncertainty plus seat-level noise, not a different projection.

GRN
36.4%
GreensProjected winner
ALP
33.4%
Labor
LIB
11.2%
Coalition (Liberal)
OTH
10.6%
Other
ONP
8.4%
One Nation
Get to know the district

Northcote

4.3%
Unemployment rate
0.7pt below Victoria's 5% average
Population
67,269
Median age
37
Median household income
$2120/wk
Aboriginal / Torres Strait Islander
1%
Classification
Inner Melbourne

Ancestry

European
69%
Australian
27%

People could report up to two ancestries. Grouped by region from the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller regions outside that list aren't counted.

Language spoken at home

English only
75%
Other languages
13%
Greek
7%
Italian
3%
Mandarin
1%
Arabic
1%

Language spoken most often at home. "Other languages" is everyone outside the top responses shown.

Religion

No Religion
57%
Christian
28%

All people. Christian combines denominations in the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller denominations outside that list aren't counted. Other faiths shown individually.

Education (highest level attained)

University Educated
50%
High School
26%
TAFE Educated
16%

People aged 15+. University Educated: Bachelor degree or higher. TAFE Educated: Certificate or Diploma. High School: no further qualification.

Housing

Renting
39%
Owned (Active Mortgage)
30%
Owned (No Mortgage)
28%

Most homes here are a separate house. Typical rent is $411/week; typical mortgage payment is $508/week.

Occupation

White collar
75%
Blue collar
24%

Employed people (15+). White collar: Managers, Professionals, Clerical & Administrative, Sales. Blue collar: Trades, Community & Personal Service, Machinery Operators, Labourers.

Past Results | Northcote

2022Projection
ALP40.6%33.4%
LIB12.2%11.2%
GRN30.0%36.4%
ONP—8.4%
Other15.7%10.6%
Independent1.4%—

Latest update: 2 October 2026