Victorian state district · Western Metropolitan
Point Cook
Results and projection for this Legislative Assembly district.
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Next Election (Projected)
Current result
One Nation wins in 49% of simulations
The win-probability figure above comes from a separate 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulation (see the Victoria Election Map page for methodology) built on this same TCP margin — it's how often that margin survives statewide polling uncertainty plus seat-level noise, not a different projection.
ONP
29.3%
One NationProjected winner
ALP
27.8%
Labor
LIB
21.4%
Coalition (Liberal)
OTH
12.6%
Other
GRN
8.9%
Greens
Get to know the district
Point Cook
Population
92,601
Median age
35
Median household income
$2179/wk
Aboriginal / Torres Strait Islander
1%
Classification
Outer Melbourne
Religion
All people. Christian combines denominations in the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller denominations outside that list aren't counted. Other faiths shown individually.
Housing
Most homes here are a separate house. Typical rent is $390/week; typical mortgage payment is $462/week.
Past Results | Point Cook
| 2022 | Projection | |
|---|---|---|
| ALP | 40.0% | 27.8% |
| LIB | 24.7% | 21.4% |
| GRN | 6.8% | 8.9% |
| ONP | — | 29.3% |
| Other | 18.3% | 12.6% |
| Independent | 10.2% | — |
Latest update: 2 October 2026