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Victorian state district · Southern Metropolitan

Prahran

Results and projection for this Legislative Assembly district.

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Next Election (Projected)

Current result

Greens wins in 76% of simulations
Greens 52.9%
Coalition (Liberal) 47.1%

The win-probability figure above comes from a separate 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulation (see the Victoria Election Map page for methodology) built on this same TCP margin — it's how often that margin survives statewide polling uncertainty plus seat-level noise, not a different projection.

GRN
37.5%
GreensProjected winner
LIB
36.0%
Coalition (Liberal)
ALP
16.0%
Labor
ONP
8.3%
One Nation
OTH
2.2%
Other
Get to know the district

Prahran

4.1%
Unemployment rate
0.9pt below Victoria's 5% average
Population
72,798
Median age
34
Median household income
$2037/wk
Aboriginal / Torres Strait Islander
1%
Classification
Inner Melbourne

Ancestry

European
54%
Australian
21%
Asian
8%

People could report up to two ancestries. Grouped by region from the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller regions outside that list aren't counted.

Language spoken at home

English only
70%
Other languages
21%
Mandarin
4%
Greek
2%
Spanish
2%
Cantonese
1%

Language spoken most often at home. "Other languages" is everyone outside the top responses shown.

Religion

No Religion
50%
Christian
21%
Judaism
4%

All people. Christian combines denominations in the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller denominations outside that list aren't counted. Other faiths shown individually.

Education (highest level attained)

University Educated
54%
High School
20%
TAFE Educated
16%

People aged 15+. University Educated: Bachelor degree or higher. TAFE Educated: Certificate or Diploma. High School: no further qualification.

Housing

Renting
58%
Owned (Active Mortgage)
21%
Owned (No Mortgage)
18%

Most homes here are a flat or apartment. Typical rent is $415/week; typical mortgage payment is $462/week.

Occupation

White collar
79%
Blue collar
19%

Employed people (15+). White collar: Managers, Professionals, Clerical & Administrative, Sales. Blue collar: Trades, Community & Personal Service, Machinery Operators, Labourers.

Past Results | Prahran

2022Projection
ALP26.6%16.0%
LIB31.1%36.0%
GRN36.4%37.5%
ONP—8.3%
Other4.8%2.2%
Independent1.1%—

Latest update: 2 October 2026