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Victorian state district · Northern Victoria

Shepparton

Results and projection for this Legislative Assembly district.

Back to Victoria Election Map
Next Election (Projected)

Current result

Coalition (National) wins in 77% of simulations
Coalition (National) 56.2%
One Nation 43.8%

The win-probability figure above comes from a separate 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulation (see the Victoria Election Map page for methodology) built on this same TCP margin — it's how often that margin survives statewide polling uncertainty plus seat-level noise, not a different projection.

NAT
43.1%
Coalition (National)Projected winner
ONP
36.2%
One Nation
ALP
7.6%
Labor
GRN
7.1%
Greens
OTH
6.0%
Other
Get to know the district

Shepparton

4.5%
Unemployment rate
0.5pt below Victoria's 5% average
Population
74,598
Median age
40
Median household income
$1373/wk
Aboriginal / Torres Strait Islander
5%
Classification
Provincial

Ancestry

European
62%
Australian
35%

People could report up to two ancestries. Grouped by region from the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller regions outside that list aren't counted.

Language spoken at home

English only
76%
Other languages
17%
Punjabi
2%
Arabic
2%
Italian
1%
Hazaraghi
1%

Language spoken most often at home. "Other languages" is everyone outside the top responses shown.

Religion

No Religion
35%
Christian
31%
Islam
6%

All people. Christian combines denominations in the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller denominations outside that list aren't counted. Other faiths shown individually.

Education (highest level attained)

High School
44%
TAFE Educated
27%
University Educated
14%

People aged 15+. University Educated: Bachelor degree or higher. TAFE Educated: Certificate or Diploma. High School: no further qualification.

Housing

Owned (No Mortgage)
35%
Owned (Active Mortgage)
33%
Renting
27%

Most homes here are a separate house. Typical rent is $260/week; typical mortgage payment is $300/week.

Occupation

White collar
51%
Blue collar
47%

Employed people (15+). White collar: Managers, Professionals, Clerical & Administrative, Sales. Blue collar: Trades, Community & Personal Service, Machinery Operators, Labourers.

Past Results | Shepparton

2022Projection
ALP8.0%7.6%
LIB20.6%—
GRN2.6%7.1%
ONP—36.2%
Coalition (National)32.1%43.1%
Independent29.4%—
Other7.5%6.0%

Latest update: 2 October 2026