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Victorian state district · Western Metropolitan

Sydenham

Results and projection for this Legislative Assembly district.

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Next Election (Projected)

Current result

One Nation wins in 52% of simulations
One Nation 52.9%
Labor 47.1%

The win-probability figure above comes from a separate 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulation (see the Victoria Election Map page for methodology) built on this same TCP margin — it's how often that margin survives statewide polling uncertainty plus seat-level noise, not a different projection.

ONP
30.3%
One NationProjected winner
ALP
27.8%
Labor
LIB
22.4%
Coalition (Liberal)
OTH
11.6%
Other
GRN
7.9%
Greens
Get to know the district

Sydenham

5.8%
Unemployment rate
0.8pt above Victoria's 5% average
Population
77,258
Median age
36
Median household income
$2111/wk
Aboriginal / Torres Strait Islander
1%
Classification
Outer Melbourne

Ancestry

European
34%
Australian
17%
Asian
7%

People could report up to two ancestries. Grouped by region from the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller regions outside that list aren't counted.

Language spoken at home

English only
52%
Other languages
33%
Vietnamese
4%
Punjabi
4%
Arabic
3%
Macedonian
3%

Language spoken most often at home. "Other languages" is everyone outside the top responses shown.

Religion

Christian
45%
No Religion
18%
Islam
7%

All people. Christian combines denominations in the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller denominations outside that list aren't counted. Other faiths shown individually.

Education (highest level attained)

High School
43%
TAFE Educated
25%
University Educated
23%

People aged 15+. University Educated: Bachelor degree or higher. TAFE Educated: Certificate or Diploma. High School: no further qualification.

Housing

Owned (Active Mortgage)
50%
Owned (No Mortgage)
30%
Renting
17%

Most homes here are a separate house. Typical rent is $381/week; typical mortgage payment is $450/week.

Occupation

White collar
56%
Blue collar
42%

Employed people (15+). White collar: Managers, Professionals, Clerical & Administrative, Sales. Blue collar: Trades, Community & Personal Service, Machinery Operators, Labourers.

Past Results | Sydenham

2022Projection
ALP43.5%27.8%
LIB29.0%22.4%
GRN5.8%7.9%
ONP—30.3%
Other21.7%11.6%

Latest update: 2 October 2026