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Victorian state district · North-Eastern Metropolitan

Warrandyte

Results and projection for this Legislative Assembly district.

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Next Election (Projected)

Current result

Coalition (Liberal) wins in 99% of simulations
Coalition (Liberal) 62.0%
Labor 38.0%

The win-probability figure above comes from a separate 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulation (see the Victoria Election Map page for methodology) built on this same TCP margin — it's how often that margin survives statewide polling uncertainty plus seat-level noise, not a different projection.

LIB
45.8%
Coalition (Liberal)Projected winner
ALP
21.6%
Labor
ONP
15.9%
One Nation
GRN
13.6%
Greens
OTH
3.1%
Other
Get to know the district

Warrandyte

4.8%
Unemployment rate
0.2pt below Victoria's 5% average
Population
73,719
Median age
43
Median household income
$2176/wk
Aboriginal / Torres Strait Islander
0%
Classification
Outer Melbourne

Ancestry

European
40%
Asian
24%
Australian
22%

People could report up to two ancestries. Grouped by region from the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller regions outside that list aren't counted.

Language spoken at home

English only
59%
Other languages
15%
Mandarin
12%
Cantonese
8%
Greek
3%
Persian (excluding Dari)
2%

Language spoken most often at home. "Other languages" is everyone outside the top responses shown.

Religion

No Religion
41%
Christian
30%

All people. Christian combines denominations in the ABS's own top-5 responses for this seat — smaller denominations outside that list aren't counted. Other faiths shown individually.

Education (highest level attained)

University Educated
38%
High School
33%
TAFE Educated
21%

People aged 15+. University Educated: Bachelor degree or higher. TAFE Educated: Certificate or Diploma. High School: no further qualification.

Housing

Owned (No Mortgage)
42%
Owned (Active Mortgage)
39%
Renting
16%

Most homes here are a separate house. Typical rent is $458/week; typical mortgage payment is $531/week.

Occupation

White collar
70%
Blue collar
28%

Employed people (15+). White collar: Managers, Professionals, Clerical & Administrative, Sales. Blue collar: Trades, Community & Personal Service, Machinery Operators, Labourers.

Past Results | Warrandyte

2022Projection
ALP33.2%21.6%
LIB47.3%45.8%
GRN11.7%13.6%
ONP—15.9%
Other6.3%3.1%
Independent1.5%—

Latest update: 2 October 2026